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This week · updated Monday, October 12, 2026

What's going on

The week's biggest stories, with how each side is arguing them, plus the elections ahead. Refreshed every Monday. Every item links to its source; read the source before you repeat the claim.

2026 Midterm Elections

Tuesday, November 3, 2026
—days away

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot, along with 36 governorships, state legislatures, and dozens of statewide ballot measures. Republicans currently hold the Senate 53-47 and the House 218-214 (plus one independent caucusing with the GOP and two vacancies), so control of both chambers is in play.

Key dates

Races and measures to watch

U.S. Senate - Maine: Sen. Susan Collins (R) vs. Troy Jackson (D)

Collins is the last Republican senator in New England and a key vote Democrats need to flip to get to a net gain of four seats. A Washington Post-Schar School poll (Oct. 9) had Jackson 50-46; Jackson replaced Graham Platner, who withdrew in July. forbes.com ↗

U.S. Senate - North Carolina (open): Roy Cooper (D) vs. Michael Whatley (R)

Sen. Thom Tillis is retiring. Democrats call this their best pickup chance; the former governor faces the former RNC chair. Cook Political Report moved it from Lean to Likely Democrat, and a YouGov/Catawba poll (Oct. 7) had Cooper 47-35. cbsnews.com ↗

U.S. Senate - Texas: Ken Paxton (R) vs. James Talarico (D)

Paxton beat incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the GOP primary. Republicans expect to hold Texas but concede an expensive race; a NYT/Siena poll (Oct. 3) showed Talarico 51-45. A Democratic win here would reshape the Senate map. cbsnews.com ↗

U.S. Senate - Ohio: Sen. Jon Husted (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D)

Husted was appointed to JD Vance's old seat; Brown lost Ohio's other seat in 2024 and is trying a comeback. A CNN/SSRS poll (Oct. 8) had Brown 49-43 in a state Trump carried easily. forbes.com ↗

U.S. Senate - Georgia: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) vs. Rep. Mike Collins (R)

Once seen as Republicans' easiest pickup, a messy GOP primary delayed Collins' general-election campaign and the race is now competitive. The two held their first televised debate ahead of early voting, which opens Oct. 13. atlantanewsfirst.com ↗

U.S. Senate - Kansas: Sen. Roger Marshall (R) vs. Adam Hamilton (D)

A surprise battleground. Hamilton, a former Republican and pastor of the country's largest United Methodist church, is running on cost of living, the Iran war and energy prices. NYT/Siena (Oct. 7) had Marshall 47-46; Cook moved it to Toss-up. cbsnews.com ↗

Georgia Governor (open): Rick Jackson (R) vs. Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)

Gov. Brian Kemp is term-limited. Georgia is a federal swing state where Republicans have held every statewide office; the lieutenant governor, secretary of state and attorney general seats are also open after those officials ran for governor and lost. atlantanewsfirst.com ↗

Ballot measures: California Prop 39 (voter ID), Nevada Q6 (abortion) and Q7 (voter ID), Missouri abortion amendment

California's Prop 39 would require government ID to vote in person and ID digits on mail ballots; Nevada votes on both a photo-ID requirement and a constitutional abortion right; Missouri's measure would ban most abortions and gender-transition procedures for minors. ballotpedia.org ↗

If it's your first time voting

  1. Register or update your registration at vote.gov (it routes you to your state's official system). Deadlines vary by state - some have already passed, some states allow same-day registration - so check yours today.
  2. Confirm your registration is active and your address is current through your state's voter portal (for example Georgia's My Voter Page at mvp.sos.ga.gov). An old address can send you to the wrong precinct.
  3. Learn your state's ID rules before you go. Some states require photo ID, others accept non-photo documents or none. Bring a driver's license or state ID to be safe.
  4. Decide how you will vote: in person on Nov. 3, early in person (Georgia opens Oct. 13, other states differ), or by mail/absentee where allowed. Mail ballots have their own request and return deadlines.
  5. Find your polling place or early-voting site on your state or county elections website. Early-voting locations are often different from your Election Day precinct.
  6. Download a sample ballot from your county and research every race, including judges, school board and ballot measures. Ballotpedia and your state's official voter guide are good starting points.

Your states

Deadlines, how to vote, and what's on the ballot where each of you lives. Checked Tuesday, October 13, 2026.

CT

Connecticut

Malakai, Finn, Lucas
Register
Regular registration deadline is Friday, October 16, 2026: online by 11:59 p.m., mailed forms postmarked/received by that date, DMV by close of business, in person at your Registrars of Voters office until 8 p.m. Register or check status at MyVote.CT.gov.
Missed it?
If you miss Oct. 16, Same-Day Registration (SDR) lets you register and vote at one designated SDR location in your town (not your regular polling place) during all early voting hours and on Election Day 6 a.m.–8 p.m.; bring proof of identity and residency.
Early voting
Early in-person voting runs Monday, October 19 through Sunday, November 1, 2026, 10 a.m.–6 p.m. daily, with extended 8 a.m.–8 p.m. hours on Tuesday, Oct. 27 and Thursday, Oct. 29. Each town posts its early voting site; find yours via the Secretary of the State's early voting page or MyVote.CT.gov.
Absentee
No-excuse absentee voting is in effect for 2026: any registered voter can apply (online portal opened Sept. 19; ballots issued from Oct. 2). Request deadline is November 2, 2026; the completed ballot must reach your Town Clerk by 8 p.m. on Nov. 3 (mail, in person, or town drop box).
ID
Photo ID is not required: most voters can show a Social Security card or any pre-printed ID with name plus address, signature or photo, or sign an affidavit (Form ED-681); first-time voters who registered by mail may need a photo ID or a document (utility bill, bank statement) showing name and address.

On the ballot

  • No U.S. Senate race in Connecticut this year
  • Governor/Lt. Governor: Ned Lamont & Susan Bysiewicz (D, incumbents) vs. Ryan Fazio & Matthew Corey (R)
  • Attorney General: William Tong (D) vs. John Bolton (R)
  • Secretary of the State: Stephanie Thomas (D) vs. Peter Lumaj (R)
  • Treasurer: Erick Russell (D) vs. Fred Wilms (R); Comptroller: Sean Scanlon (D) vs. Jennifer Tooker (R)
  • All 5 U.S. House seats: CT-1 Luke Bronin (D, beat Rep. Larson in primary); CT-2 Joe Courtney (D); CT-3 Rosa DeLauro (D); CT-4 Jim Himes (D) vs. Michael Goldstein (R); CT-5 Jahana Hayes (D) vs. Chris Shea (R)
  • All 36 State Senate and all 151 State House seats
  • Local: Judge of Probate and, in some towns, municipal offices such as Registrars of Voters
  • Statewide ballot questions: none found on official or League of Women Voters guides; confirm on your sample ballot at MyVote.CT.gov

Races to watch

Governor: Ned Lamont (D) vs. Ryan Fazio (R)

Lamont is seeking a historic third term; a June UNH poll had him ahead 49–36, and raters call it Solid/Safe D, but it is the top-of-ticket race that sets state taxes, housing and energy policy for four years. en.wikipedia.org ↗

CT-1 U.S. House: Luke Bronin (D) after upsetting Rep. John Larson

Former Hartford mayor Bronin beat a 14-term incumbent 54–33 in the August primary, a result he called 'a political earthquake'; the Hartford-area seat is Solid D, so November mostly confirms a generational change. ctpublic.org ↗

CT-5 U.S. House: Jahana Hayes (D) vs. Chris Shea (R)

The northwest/Waterbury-area 5th is Connecticut's least-safe House seat (Sabato rates it only Likely D vs. Safe D elsewhere) and has been the GOP's main CT target in recent cycles. en.wikipedia.org ↗

Six constitutional officers (AG, SOTS, Treasurer, Comptroller, Lt. Gov.) plus the whole General Assembly

Every statewide office and all 187 legislative seats are up at once, so this ballot decides who runs elections (Secretary of the State) and the legislature that writes Connecticut's budget. my.lwv.org ↗

VA

Virginia

Dylan
Register
Register or update online through the Citizen Portal, by mail, or in person through Friday, October 23, 2026 to cast a regular ballot.
Missed it?
Same-day registration runs Oct. 24 through Election Day: you can register and vote in person at an early voting site or your Election Day polling place, but you cast a provisional ballot that is counted after the registrar verifies eligibility.
Early voting
Early in-person voting runs Friday, September 18 through 5 p.m. Saturday, October 31, 2026 at your locality's early voting office, including weekend days Oct. 18, 24, 25 and 31. Find your site through the Department of Elections' early voting office locations page or your general registrar.
Absentee
No excuse needed: any registered voter can request a mail ballot online, by mail or in person until 5 p.m. Friday, October 23, 2026. Return it to your registrar, a drop-off location, or a polling place by Election Day, or mail it postmarked by Nov. 3 and received by noon Nov. 6 (unpostmarked late ballots are not counted).
ID
Show an acceptable ID (a Virginia DMV license, even expired, always works); without one you can sign an ID confirmation statement and still cast a regular ballot, or vote provisionally if you decline to sign.

On the ballot

  • U.S. Senate: Mark R. Warner (D, incumbent seeking 4th term) vs. Bert Mizusawa (R, retired Army major general)
  • No governor race in 2026 (Virginia elects its governor in odd years)
  • All 11 U.S. House seats; the 2026 election uses the existing map after the Democratic redistricting plan failed to take effect
  • VA-01 Wittman (R) vs. Taylor (D); VA-02 Kiggans (R) vs. Luria (D); VA-03 Scott (D); VA-04 McClellan (D); VA-05 McGuire (R) vs. Perriello (D); VA-06 Cline (R) vs. Macy (D)
  • VA-07 Vindman (D) vs. Ollivant (R); VA-08 Beyer (D); VA-09 Griffith (R); VA-10 Subramanyam (D); VA-11 Walkinshaw (D)
  • State legislature: no regular General Assembly elections in 2026; one special election for House of Delegates District 20
  • Question 1: constitutional amendment adding a right to reproductive freedom (prenatal care, contraception, abortion, fertility care)
  • Question 2: constitutional amendment repealing the same-sex marriage ban and recognizing marriage equality
  • Question 3: constitutional amendment making voting a fundamental right and automatically restoring voting rights after release from prison
  • Local offices and local referendums (vary by county/city)

Races to watch

VA-02 U.S. House: Jen Kiggans (R) vs. Elaine Luria (D)

A Virginia Beach rematch of 2022 that Cook lists as Toss Up/Lean D; Luria is trying to retake the seat she lost, and early-vote trends in October tilted toward Democrats, so this could help decide U.S. House control. fox5dc.com ↗

VA-01 U.S. House: Rob Wittman (R) vs. Shannon Taylor (D)

Cook moved this Richmond-suburbs-to-rural seat from Lean R to Toss-up on Oct. 9, and Sabato did the same, making a long-time Republican incumbent suddenly vulnerable. 270towin.com ↗

Constitutional Amendments 1, 2 and 3

Three statewide yes/no questions on reproductive rights, marriage equality and automatic restoration of voting rights after prison would permanently change Virginia's constitution with a simple majority. elections.virginia.gov ↗

U.S. Senate: Mark Warner (D) vs. Bert Mizusawa (R)

Warner leads by roughly 18 points in polling aggregates and every major rater calls it Safe/Solid D, but it is Virginia's only statewide office on the ballot and part of the national fight for Senate control. en.wikipedia.org ↗

Politics and government

Trump strikes diesel deal with Putin, lifts sanctions on Russian fuel, says Ukraine needs a new leader

On Oct. 9, after a roughly 90-minute call with Putin, Trump announced Russia would immediately supply over 300,000 tons of diesel and 500,000 more in November; Treasury issued a temporary license letting Russian diesel into global markets, a month after Trump signed sweeping Russia energy sanctions. Trump then said Ukraine should pick 'a new leader who can make a deal.' Zelenskyy called the deal 'not fair and not honest.' euronews.com ↗

What the right is saying

The White House frames it as America first: diesel is at record prices because of the Iran war, and relief for farmers, ranchers and truckers outweighs Kyiv's refinery strikes, which officials say continued despite U.S. requests to stop. Some Republicans dissent: Sen. Thom Tillis says it may violate the 2022 Russian-oil import ban.

What the left is saying

Democrats and European allies argue it rewards Putin days after his birthday, undercuts a sanctions law Trump himself signed, hands Russia revenue for weapons while it bombs Ukrainian cities, and that pressuring a wartime ally to change leaders weakens the Western alliance.

Why it matters: It is a direct test of whether cheaper fuel at home is worth loosening pressure on Russia, with the midterms and Ukraine's survival both in play.

Trump says U.S. will not attack Iran before the midterms as indirect talks continue

In an Oct. 8 Truth Social post, Trump said the U.S. would not strike Iran 'at any time prior to the midterm elections,' citing 'productive discussions' via Qatari mediators, after The Atlantic reported he had sought pre-midterm strike options. Seven months into the war the Strait of Hormuz remains closed; Iran says it stays shut until seven conditions are met, including lifting the U.S. blockade. Brent briefly topped $105. al-monitor.com ↗

What the right is saying

Supporters say the blockade and sanctions have choked Iran's oil exports to zero, so the U.S. can afford patience and negotiate from strength rather than rush to more combat; the pause shows the president controls escalation.

What the left is saying

Critics say tying war decisions publicly to an election calendar politicizes national security, signals to Iran it can wait out the clock, and that Congress has still not authorized a war whose official U.S. death toll just rose to 21 with 865 wounded.

Why it matters: Oil, gas and diesel prices for the next month hinge largely on whether this pause holds and whether the Strait reopens.

Justice Department opens antitrust probe of ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox and NBC over press-pool boycott

DOJ's Antitrust Division is investigating whether the five networks in the White House TV pool violated the Sherman Act when they briefly suspended pool coverage in solidarity after the administration revoked credentials for CNN, MSNOW and Politico in mid-September. DOJ said 'group boycotts among commercial competitors can violate the Sherman Act.' A federal judge has already ordered the three outlets' credentials restored. cbsnews.com ↗

What the right is saying

The administration argues the networks are commercial competitors who coordinated to withhold a product, which is exactly what antitrust law polices, and that outlets have no right to White House access if they publish national-security-sensitive material.

What the left is saying

Press-freedom advocates and Democrats call it an attempt to punish newsrooms for a First Amendment protest, note no profit motive existed, and warn the government is using antitrust law to intimidate coverage of the president.

Why it matters: It sets up a court fight over whether editorial decisions by news organizations can be treated as commercial collusion.

Federal judge orders administration to pull $20 million in taxpayer-funded TV ads promoting Trump

On Oct. 11, U.S. District Judge Jennifer Rochon issued a two-week restraining order forcing DHS to cancel remaining ads from a $20 million 'National Media Campaign' featuring Trump on communism, a replayed 2024 campaign spot and the capture of Nicolas Maduro. Common Cause and the DNC sued under a federal ban on using appropriated funds for 'publicity or propaganda.' GOP Leader John Thune also criticized the ads. cbsnews.com ↗

What the right is saying

The White House says the spots are public service announcements comparable to past administrations' messaging on border security, funded from money Congress appropriated for commemorating border efforts, and Trump has said his political operation will cover the cost going forward.

What the left is saying

Democrats and watchdogs say the ads are campaign commercials paid for by taxpayers weeks before an election, that no reimbursement has been offered for money already spent, and that the court had to step in because Congress would not.

Why it matters: It draws a line on how far an administration can use government money for campaign-style messaging in an election year.

Vance suspends Microsoft and Adobe from green-card program, alleging H-1B abuse

On Oct. 8, Vice President Vance suspended Microsoft and Adobe from the PERM program that lets employers sponsor foreign workers for green cards. He said Microsoft laid off about 6,000 U.S. workers last year while obtaining 6,300 H-1B visas and nearly 3,000 green cards, calling the system 'rife with fraud.' Microsoft says it pays H-1B staff the same as peers. The same day Trump gave CEO Satya Nadella the National Medal of Technology. abcnews.com ↗

What the right is saying

Supporters say big tech has used H-1B and green-card pipelines to replace American workers with cheaper foreign labor, and that enforcing existing rules against the biggest offenders is long-overdue protection for U.S. graduates entering tech.

What the left is saying

Critics, including some in the business community, say punishing companies without a completed investigation is arbitrary, that H-1B workers fill real shortages, and that the move will push talent and jobs offshore while contradicting the administration's own praise of Microsoft.

Why it matters: For anyone planning a tech career, this is a live fight over who gets hired for high-skill jobs in America.

Hegseth's plan to livestream Fort Hood shooter's execution draws bipartisan pushback

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Oct. 8 that the Dec. 3 firing-squad execution of ex-Army Maj. Nidal Hasan, sentenced to death for killing 13 at Fort Hood in 2009, would be livestreamed. Trump authorized the firing squad but has not decided on a livestream; Vance doubts it will happen. Sen. Thom Tillis (R) called it 'beyond disgusting,' Rep. Austin Scott (R) said it is 'what jihadists do,' and Democrats Jack Reed and Chris Murphy called it barbaric. aljazeera.com ↗

What the right is saying

Defenders say Hasan is a terrorist who murdered fellow soldiers 17 years ago, that the sentence is lawful and long delayed, and that transparency about carrying out justice is not something to apologize for.

What the left is saying

Opponents across both parties say public executions are the practice of dictatorships and jihadist groups, that a broadcast would be a recruiting gift to America's enemies, and that it dishonors the victims by turning justice into a show.

Why it matters: It is a rare case where many Republicans openly broke with the administration, and it tests where Americans draw the line on how the state carries out the death penalty.

Chief Justice Roberts freezes court order in fight over cheap TV ad rates for party committees

On Oct. 8, Chief Justice Roberts temporarily stayed a Fourth Circuit order giving the FCC 48 hours to decide whether party-coordinated ads and joint fundraising committees get the 'lowest unit charge' TV rates that federal law guarantees candidates. Four Democratic candidates challenged the FCC's March guidance; the appeals court accused the agency of 'gamesmanship' to run out the clock before Election Day. insideradio.com ↗

What the right is saying

Republicans and the FCC argue the law sets no deadline for the agency, that a court cannot dictate rulemaking timelines in the middle of a campaign, and that letting parties buy ads at candidate rates helps challengers compete with well-funded incumbents.

What the left is saying

Democrats argue Congress reserved the discount for candidates only, that the FCC is stalling so Republican party committees can keep the cheaper rates through November, and that the courts should not let an agency dodge review until after voters have voted.

Why it matters: Ad costs in the final weeks can decide close House and Senate races, and the ruling shapes who gets the discount.

Money and the economy

Fed minutes: all 19 officials backed September's rate hike, most expect another by year-end

Minutes released Oct. 7 show the Sept. 16 quarter-point hike to 3.75%-4.00%, the first since July 2023, had unanimous support, and most officials said another hike 'would likely be appropriate by year end.' They blamed Middle East conflict lifting fuel prices, heavy AI spending and past tariffs; staff put August PCE inflation at 3.8% (core 3.4%). Markets see about a 20% chance of a hike Oct. 28 but a likely hike in December. babypips.com ↗

Hiring slows: September added just 29,000 jobs, unemployment 4.2%

The Oct. 2 jobs report showed payrolls up 29,000 versus 90,000 expected, with July revised to a loss of 10,000 and August cut to 133,000. Unemployment ticked up to 4.2% and wages grew 3.0% year over year, below inflation. Analysts called it a 'low-hire, low-fire' market: hard to get hired, but layoffs still low. Government and financial-sector jobs fell; construction and healthcare grew modestly. foxbusiness.com ↗

Mortgage rates hit 7.40%, highest since 2023, as the 10-year Treasury yield touches a 24-year high

Freddie Mac's weekly survey put the 30-year fixed at 7.40% for the week of Oct. 8, up from 7.28%; the 15-year rose to 6.73%. The 10-year Treasury yield reached nearly 5.37% on Oct. 7, its highest since 2002, before easing to about 5.25%. Higher yields reflect sticky inflation and the Fed's turn to hiking; each extra percentage point adds hundreds of dollars a month to a typical payment. mortgagenewsdaily.com ↗

Stocks post weekly gains despite $90+ oil; September CPI lands Oct. 14

For the week ending Oct. 9 the S&P 500 rose 1.2%, the Dow 0.9% and the Nasdaq 0.6%, its fourth straight weekly gain. WTI crude settled near $91 and Brent near $104 after Trump's Russian diesel announcement eased supply fears; Delta cut its profit forecast as fuel costs rose 62%. Gold hit about $4,220 and bitcoin traded near $82,300. Next test: the September CPI report on Oct. 14 (August CPI was 3.4%, energy up 16.3%). finance.yahoo.com ↗

The world

Iran war: Houthi strikes hit Riyadh airport again, Pentagon raises U.S. casualty count

Houthi strikes on Riyadh's airport killed 12 and wounded over 300 on Oct. 10, with another death the next day; Trump said he is considering joining Saudi strikes on Yemen, and Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia jointly condemned the attacks. The Pentagon raised U.S. deaths in the war from 18 to 21 and wounded to 865. Iran called the U.S. answer to its seven Hormuz conditions insufficient and said it is 'no longer responding.' justsecurity.org ↗

Europe splits from Washington on Russia: EU adopts nearly 1,600 new sanctions as Trump eases diesel curbs

EU foreign ministers adopted nearly 1,600 sanctions listings on Russia's military-industrial complex, over half tied to ballistic missile production, days after Trump lifted U.S. curbs on Russian diesel. European officials told the Financial Times the administration threatened to halt PURL, the NATO mechanism for buying U.S. weapons for Ukraine, to pressure Kyiv to stop hitting Russian refineries. The UK, Germany and Poland reaffirmed support for Zelenskyy. justsecurity.org ↗

Rubio announces sweeping financial sanctions on the International Criminal Court

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that transactions with the ICC will be prohibited after a six-month grace period, the most severe U.S. action yet against the Hague-based court. The move came the same week the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize went to Navi Pillay, a former ICC judge who chaired the UN inquiry on the occupied Palestinian territories, a choice Trump criticized. justsecurity.org ↗

Taiwan's president says island will not give up freedom as China runs live-fire drills

In his National Day speech, President Lai Ching-te said Taiwan cherishes peace but 'will not give up its freedom' and that boosting defenses is not a provocation. China denounced the speech, and Taiwan's defense minister said the military is monitoring Chinese live-fire drills along the coast. Reuters also reported a Chinese maritime militia boat was sighted off Taiwan's Pacific coast for the first time. justsecurity.org ↗

Body and health

Creatine added lean mass and strength even in people who did not lift, 12-week trial finds

A Texas A&M trial in the Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition randomized 64 sedentary adults aged 45-65 to creatine or placebo twice daily; 38 also joined 3x/week training. Sedentary creatine users gained about 2.4 lb of lean tissue plus bench and leg-press strength; creatine plus training gained about 3 lb and lost fat, while exercise-plus-placebo barely changed. Caveats: small sample, self-selected exercise groups. medicalnewstoday.com ↗

Each extra hour of weekly exercise linked to slower memory and movement decline in Parkinson's

A University of Cincinnati study of 294 Parkinson's patients, published Oct. 7 in Neurology, found each extra hour of weekly physical activity was linked to slightly slower declines in memory, thinking and movement over up to 7 years; 4-8 hours a week showed the clearest benefit, with no added gain beyond 8. It is observational with self-reported activity, so it shows association, not cause. foxnews.com ↗

Argue about it

Steelman the other side first
  1. Trump's diesel deal lowers fuel costs for Americans but loosens pressure on Russia mid-war. When, if ever, should domestic prices outweigh commitments to an ally - and who gets to decide, the president or Congress?
  2. The DOJ says five networks' coordinated pool boycott may be an illegal 'group boycott.' Is a joint editorial protest a commercial act subject to antitrust law, or protected speech? Would your answer change if the networks were protesting a Democratic president?
  3. Vance suspended Microsoft from sponsoring green cards over alleged H-1B abuse. Does the H-1B program fill real shortages or undercut American graduates? What evidence would settle it?
  4. Several Republicans broke with Hegseth over livestreaming a convicted terrorist's execution. Is transparency about justice a virtue here, or does a public execution cross a line that even supporters of the death penalty should respect?
  5. The Fed hiked in September with inflation near 3.4% and may hike again, pushing mortgages past 7.4% while job growth slows to 29,000. If you were a Fed governor on Oct. 28, would you raise, hold, or cut - and what would you tell a 19-year-old trying to save for a house?

This page is assembled from news sources each week. Framing lines summarize how each side is arguing, not what's true; the facts are in the sources. Something wrong or missing? Tell Malakai.